Supercomputer ranks Manchester United’s chance to win Europa League after Barcelona draw

MANCHESTER, ENGLAND - OCTOBER 27: (EDITORS NOTE - This image has been converted to black and white) Erik ten Hag, Manager of Manchester United looks on during the UEFA Europa League group E match between Manchester United and Sheriff Tiraspol at Old Trafford on October 27, 2022 in Manchester, England. (Photo by Naomi Baker/Getty Images)

Manchester United have been drawn against Barcelona in the Europa League play-offs.

After missing out on a direct place in the last-16, the Red Devils have to play a two-legged tie against the La Liga giants.

Barcelona finished third in their Champions League group — behind Bayern Munich and Inter Milan — and they are seen as one of the favourites to win this year’s Europa League outright.

2022/23 Europa League winner chances, as per FiveThirtyEight

  • Barcelona 21%
  • Arsenal 19%
  • Ajax 11%
  • Manchester United 4%
  • Feyenoord 4%

Manchester United odds for Europa League

  • To make the last-16: 31%
  • To make the quarter-finals: 22%
  • To make the semi-finals: 14%
  • To make the final: 8%
  • To win the Europa League: 4%