Supercomputer ranks Manchester United’s Europa League chances

Manchester United are trying to top their group in the Europa League for obvious reasons, but one point from tonight’s game against FC Sheriff would be enough to book our place in the play-offs for the knockouts – against one of the teams dropping into the competition from the Champions League.

Finishing first would allow United to go straight to the Round of 16, avoiding that unwanted two-legged tie against a third-placed team from Europe’s most prestigious competition.

Barcelona, who crashed out of the Champions League last night, have been named as the new Europa League favourites by FiveThirtyEight.

2022/23 Europa League champions likelihood charts

  • Barcelona – 23%
  • Arsenal – 15%
  • Ajax – 10%
  • Manchester United – 6%
  • Real Sociedad – 5%

Manchester United chances in the Europa League

  • To make knockout stages – 99%
  • To make round of 16 – 64%
  • To make the quarter-finals – 41%
  • To make the semi-finals – 23%
  • To make the final – 12%
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